Worst case scenario for Vista?
Wednesday, August 30th, 2006It could happen, but I sure hope it doesn’t. Itanalyst makes a prediction for Microsoft Vista:
My Bold Prediction
Vista will be released sometime in 2007… won’t say when because Microsoft can’t commit to a release date any more than Bush can commit to a pullout date in Iraq…. Vista is released to fanfare and Microshills everywhere have a simultaneous group orgasm over its release, people start buying it… then the nightmare begins…People suddenly discover that in addition to the overbloated price of Vista, they will have to upgrade their memory, processors, video cards, and possibly just buy an entire new machine to accommodate this massive piece of junk code and scrap Vista and go back to whatever OS they were using. People on limited budgets who cannot afford to upgrade their machines or buy a new one demand a refund of Vista, hailing it as the new “Windows ME”.
Businesses on limited budgets see Vista as no improvement over XP and balk at upgrading their systems and stick to their existing OS, especially in light of having to choose from 7 different versions of an OS that should have just stayed with three versions (Media Center, Professional, and Home). Three to six months after release (or sooner) the vulnerabilities start showing up and hackers attack with vigor and enthusiasm, causing more people to stay with their existing OS.
By the end of the year, Vista ranks up with Microsoft BOB and ME as the worst OS release in Microsoft history. Steve Ballmer pulls what little hair he has left out and throws a chair at himself.
I don’t remember anyone getting excited over Windows ME. Vista will be fine, but Microsoft will be lucky if its adoption rate is 50% by January 2009. XP was not adopted quickly either. Vista won’t be a bad release like BOB or ME, but I’ve been saying all year that early adopters like myself will not pay for Vista twice; that is, I won’t buy a 32-bit version now and then be charged for an upgrade to the 64-bit version later when I can afford a new system (whenever that will be). It’s reported that both 32- and 64-bit versions will be on the same DVD, but you’ll have to pay to activate one or the other, not a single price for both. If it were $99 or even $125, I’d buy Vista 32-bit. But I’m wanting the Ultimate Edition (a quick look at the feature set says this is the only one worth having; the Home Premium does nothing) and even with a discounted street price well over $300, I will contentedly wait. XP is fine and I can wait for years if I need to. Besides, the number of features dropped from Vista makes this an “I’ll-wait-thank-you” upgrade for most everyone.
And for more fun reading predictions and scenario, here’s another funny one. Ed Bott posted this Slashdot commenter which is funny:
— Windows Vista Ultimate 1 leg 1 arm
— Windows Vista Business 1 leg 1 ear
— Windows Vista Home Premium 1 arm 3 toes
— Windows Vista Home Basic 1 eye 1 ear (you won’t be getting Aero anyway)
— Windows Vista Ultimate Upgrade 1 arm 4 toes
— Windows Vista Business Upgrade 1 arm
— Windows Vista Home Premium Upgrade 1 ear 3 toes 2 fingers
— Windows Vista Home Basic Upgrade 1 eye
*All prices include your soul.I just want to know whether my soul has to be activated first.
Good find Ed, my favorite Go-To Windows man.








